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Force planning has been and always will be a very dynamic process. consequently, as the strategic environment changes or as the understanding of its uncertainties matures, and as both threat and friendly military capabilities evolve, there should be adjustments to the defense program. force planning, particularly when it is done correctly, represents the purest application of the strategic art--calculating a variable mix of ends, ways, and means. in a world characterized by uncertainty and regional instability, in which the united states has security interests that are truly global in scope, the ends are fairly clear although difficult to achieve. as the united states enters the 21st century, the ways and means to achieve those strategic ends continue to be expressed by the 2-mtw framework. that framework is founded on a logical integration of threat and capabilities-based planning. planners need to adapt that framework as necessary to accommodate appropriate adjustments. new approaches to planning scenarios offer the potential for such adjustment concerning the "ways" of the strategic paradigm, while force thinning and modernization are two important categories for adjusting the affordability of the strategic "means." the experience of more than 40 years of force planning indicates that elements of both threat-based and capabilities-based planning must be applied. figure 4 summarizes the force planning process and illustrates the integration of threat-based and capabilities-based planning. drawing on the logic of threat-based planning, the force planner needs realistic scenarios as a yardstick against which to measure the capabilities of a force. adjusting the existing canonical-mtw scenarios by adopting a scenario-space approach can better ensure that all relative factors and resultant requirements are considered. as shown in the center of figure 4 and reiterated in the nss and nms, the focus of force planning should remain on the evaluation of the major theater planning cases. the vast majority of force requirements are derived from these primary cases. however, it is also necessary to examine the full range of.
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